
Armenia–Azerbaijan Relations
Armenian intelligence says war with Azerbaijan ‘highly unlikely’ in 2026
The forecast came as part of the Foreign Intelligence Service’s annual report.

The forecast came as part of the Foreign Intelligence Service’s annual report.

The country has been boycotting most CSTO meetings for years as tensions between Yerevan and Moscow deepened.

Armenia has distanced itself from the Russia-led security pact in recent years.

The talks took place with the French Defence Procurement Agency.

The warning followed the recent adoption by the Armenian Parliament of a bill that calls on the government to seek EU integration.

Armenia announced in February 2024 that its participation in the CSTO was ‘basically frozen’.

Russia also said that Armenia’s ‘frozen’ membership in the CSTO ‘does not contribute to strengthening Armenia’s security’.